First Read: Mitt Romney’s Path to 270 Electoral College Votes a High-Wire Act

Mitt Romney - Caricature

First Read:  Mitt Romney’s Path to 270 Electoral College Votes a High-Wire Act (Photo credit: DonkeyHotey)

Mitt Romney and President Obama are in a tough battle for the presidency, but I think Mitt Romney has an even steeper path to get to 270 electoral votes. Here’s an interesting snippet from First Read. Of course, nothing’s impossible, just sometimes improbable.

 First Read ranks the nine toss-up states in the likelihood of Romney being able to flip them from blue to red (from most likely to least likely) (h/t Political Wire):

1. North Carolina
2. Iowa
3. Florida
4. Colorado
5. Virginia
6. Nevada
7. Ohio
8. Wisconsin
9. New Hampshire

“What’s striking about this list is if you give Romney the Top 4 (NC, IA, FL, and CO) that only gets him to 250 electoral votes. And if you give him the next two on the list (VA and NV), he’s still one short of 270 (bringing us to that 269-269 tie). That means he has to put one of Ohio, Wisconsin, or New Hampshire into the mix to get past 270. Bottom line: Romney’s map to 270 is more than doable, but it’s also a high-wire act.”

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Janet Shan is a freelance journalist and managing editor of the Hinterland Gazette, who is working on her first novel, a mystery based in the hills on Montego Bay.