Public Policy Polling is out with a new poll showing New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) trailing Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton by four percentage points in a hypothetical match-up for the 2016 presidential elections. He is the only one of the possible Republican presidential candidates who could be a threat to any presidential aspirations Hillary Clinton may have. From the poll results, it seems that Joe Biden wouldn’t be much of a threat to Christie.
PPP’s monthly look at the 2016 Republican field for President finds essentially a 4 way tie at the top- Marco Rubio has 16%, Jeb Bush and Chris Christie 15% each, and Rand Paul 14%. Paul Ryan at 9%, Ted Cruz at 7%, Rick Santorum at 5%, Bobby Jindal at 3%, and Susana Martinez at 1% round out the potential candidates we tested.
There hasn’t been much movement on the Democratic side either. Hillary Clinton leads with 63% to 13% for Joe Biden, 4% for Andrew Cuomo, 3% for Mark Warner and Elizabeth Warren, 2% for Martin O’Malley, and 1% each for Kirsten Gillibrand, Deval Patrick, and Brian Schweitzer. Clinton led Biden 61-12 when we started polling on this in December. Clinton has at least 58% support with liberals, moderates, men, women, whites, African Americans, Hispanics, young voters, and seniors- in other words every key segment of the Democratic electorate.
[...]Chris Christie continues to be the only potential Republican candidate who polls competitively with Clinton, trailing her just 47/44. Christie has a 40/32 favorability with Democrats, making him the only potential 2016 contender with any crossover appeal. Clinton holds identical 10 point leads at 51/41 over Paul and Rubio.
Clinton is on average about a 10 point stronger general election candidate than Biden would be. He trails Christie 49/40 in a hypothetical match, including 51/29 with independents. And he leads Paul (46/44) and Rubio (46/45) by pretty tight margins.
Would Hispanics and women really break for Hillary Clinton over Chris Christie in 2016? That will be interesting. I believe they would.