Though Mitt Romney continues to surge in both national and swing state poll, Nate Silver now gives him a 38.9% chance of winning the presidential election. That’s good news for President Obama at this juncture but he has to come with guns blazing at the debate next week. Some of Joe Biden’s spirit needs to rub off on him.
“The only really good news for Democrats is that Mr. Obama had built up a large enough cushion that he could withstand a lot of damage without becoming the underdog. The forecast model still has him clinging to narrow leads in Ohio, Iowa, Wisconsin and Nevada, states that in some combination would give him 270 electoral votes.”
The Week: Is Romney taking over in the swing states?