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Baylor vs Kansas State Odds and Predictions (February 21)

February 11, 2023; Fort Worth, Texas, USA; Baylor Bears guard Adam Flagler (10) reacts after scoring during the second half against the TCU Horned Frogs at the Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

  • The Baylor Bears are the 2-point road favorites as they visit the Kansas State Wildcats on Tuesday
  • Kansas State won the previous meeting between these two teams on January 7th
  • See below for the latest Baylor vs Kansas State odds, plus analysis and best bets

There is literally no time for the 9th-place Baylor Bears (20-7, 9-5 Big 12) to lick their wounds after total collapse in their loss to Kansas last time out.

They have another heavy burden, as they hit the road to face the Kansas State Wildcats (20-7, 8-6, Big 12), the 14th-ranked team in the nation, who already beat the Bears earlier this season. season .

Each with a 20-7 total, Baylor is third in the conference, just one lead over KState. They are chasing both Texas and Kansas.

College basketball odds have Baylor as a 2-point road favorite, with a 145.5 total.

Baylor vs Kansas State odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total Baylor Bears -2 (-110) -125 W 145.5 (-110) Kansas State Wildcats +2 (-110) +105 M 145.5 (-110)

Odds starting February 20 on DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings Sportsbook bonus code to bet on the Baylor vs Kansas State game.

It all kicks off Tuesday (February 21) at 7:00 PM ET from the Bramlage Coliseum in Manhattan, Kansas. You can watch the game live on ESPN2.

Baylor vs Kansas State betting analysis

Nothing like a late-season slump to throw a wrench in your confidence. That’s what the Baylor Bears are dealing with after blowing a 13-point halftime lead in a 87-71 loss to Kansas, snapping a 4-game hitting streak.

The Jayhawks outscored them 55-26 in the final 20 minutes to win on the road and leapfrog to the top of the Big 12.

Adam Flagler led the way with 22 points and seven assists, while Keyonte George had 20 points, with five hits from center and a monster peak.


(through @BaylorMBB)


— NCAA March Madness (@MarchMadnessMBB) February 18, 2023

A team shooting 36.5% from downtown (63d in the NCAA), the Bears could do no wrong in the first half, drilling 9-of-14, but hit just one-of-11 attempts in the second half.

Since the 97-95 OT loss to KState on Jan. 7, Baylor had shut down, snagging 10 wins in 11 games before this setback.

The Wildcats earned a much-needed 61-55 win against No. 19 Iowa State last time out, snapping a 2-game slide and a stretch where they had lost four of their previous five. In fact, since beating Baylor, State has gone 6-6 over their next 12.

Dance, dance revolution#KStateMBB x @MrNewYorkCityy pic.twitter.com/6BpcyepZD6

— K-State Men’s Basketball (@KSStateMBB) February 18, 2023

Markquis Nowell was the Wildcats’ leading scorer with 20 points, adding six boards and five dimes. He was the protagonist of the last head-to-head, getting 32 points and 14 assists. He is averaging 16.9 points and 7.5 assists on the year.

Keyontae Johnson was the only other teammate to reach double figures, scoring 15 points with six rebounds. He leads the team with 17.4 points and 7.4 rebounds on the season.

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Kansas State vs Baylor Prediction

These teams are among the best schools in the nation, according to KenPom. The Bears are 14th overall, while KState is 25th.

Baylor is an offensive juggernaut, ranking second in regulated offensive efficiency, scoring 122 points per 100 possessions, trailing only the Gonzaga Bulldogs. They are 38th in the nation with 78.5 points per game.

The Wildcats are 59th in offensive efficiency and rank 91st in scoring at 75.4 points per game.

KState is the much stronger defensive unit, however, 18th in KenPom’s modified defensive rating, with Baylor in 85th. The Bears are susceptible: Their effective opponent FG% (51.1) is a distant 213rd, while Kansas State is solid in 41st, holding the teams at 47%.

Head to head between Baylor and Kansas State

9 Position 14 20-7 Record 20-7 78.5 Points Per Game 75.4 69.7 Points Against Per Game 68.1 53.1% Effective FG% 50.9% 51.1% Opponent Effective FG% 47, 0%

If you can step back and look at the big picture, Baylor is actually 4-1 against the spread over their last five contests, but that’s an obvious loss. They are also 4-1 ATS in their last five against teams with a winning record.

The Wildcats have been a solid home bet lately, going 7-1 ATS in their last eight in Bramlage, and they’ve also covered 12 of their last 15 against teams with a winning record.

Despite this, the betting favorites have gone 5-2 ATS in their previous seven H2Hs and the away team have gone 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 meetings.

Look for Baylor to bounce back in an exhibition game, against a team that fights consistency – it’s what they need as the season winds down and the stakes rise.

Choose: Baylor -2 (-110)

Eric Rosales

NFL NBA sports writer and editor

Sports writer and editor

Having worked in and around the sport since 1997, Eric is truly a seasoned pundit. The two-time journalism graduate specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV’s Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric’s work has appeared in local and national publications.


Having worked in and around the sport since 1997, Eric is truly a seasoned pundit. The two-time journalism graduate specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV’s Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric’s work has appeared in local and national publications.

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