The expected NCAA Tournament teams will compete in Manhattan, Kan., on Tuesday night. The Kansas State Wildcats No. 12 host the Baylor Bears No. 9 in a Big 12 tilt at the Bramlage Coliseum. Kansas State won Baylor in overtime in January, and the Wildcats are 14-1 at home this season. Baylor, led by national title-winning head coach Scott Drew, is 20-7 overall and 10-2 in their last 12 games.
Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET in Manhattan. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Bears as a 2-point road favorite, while the over/under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is 146 in the latest Baylor vs. Kansas State odds. Before you lock in any picks between Kansas State and Baylor, be sure to see college basketball predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s proven computer modeler.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 16 of the 71-42 season with all of the top college basketball picks this season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players.
Now, the model has his eye on Baylor vs. KSU, and just locked down its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model picks. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for KSU vs Baylor:
- Baylor vs. Kansas State Spread: Baylor -2
- Baylor over/under against Kansas State: 146 points
- Baylor vs Kansas State Money Line: Baylor -140, Kansas State +118
- BAY: The Bears are 3-4-1 against the spread in road games
- KSU: The Wildcats are 11-4 against the spread in home games
- Picks Baylor vs. Kansas State: See picks on SportsLine
Featured Game | Kansas State Wildcats versus Baylor Bears
Because Baylor can cover
Baylor is electrifying on offense, making the Bears menacing in any environment and against any opponent. Drew’s team is no. Baylor leads the conference in turnover rate (16.0%) and offensive rebound rate (34.7%), winning on the sidelines, and the Bears are among the top 15 in the nation in offensive rebound rate for the entire season.
With Baylor also shooting 36.8% from 3-point range against Big 12 teams, the Bears pressure opponents from the outside and Baylor is one of the top three teams in the Big 12 in free throw creation rate and shooting accuracy free (76.8% ). Conversely, Kansas State has the worst defensive rebound rate (66.3%) in the Big 12 this season, and the Wildcats rank outside the top 300 in the country in free throws allowed.
Because the state of Kansas can cover
K-State has the advantage on the defensive end and the Wildcats should benefit from friendly home field advantage in Manhattan. The Wildcats are among the top 20 in the country in defensive efficiency, and Kansas State leads the Big 12 in opponent shooting, including a 28.1% mark allowed from 3-pointers. Kansas State creates turnover on more than 21% of defensive possessions, including live ball turnover on nearly 11% of trips.
On offense, Kansas State ranks in the top three of the Big 12 in free throw accuracy (77.8%) and free throw creation rate, and the Wildcats assist on more than 64% of shooting from the field. Baylor is last in the Big 12 in opposing shooting allowed on the defensive end, and the Bears are also last in 2-point defense and blocking speed. Baylor creates turnover on just 16.4% of possessions, and the Bears are second worst in the Big 12 in turnover creation rate and steal rate.
How to make choices between Kansas State and Baylor
The SportsLine model relies on the total score, projecting teams to meld for 147 points. The model also says that one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only choose the model on SportsLine.
So who wins Baylor vs. Kansas State? And which side hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model who crushed his college basketball picks and find out.